Prediction of student academic performance using supervised learning algorithms in a university from the Peruvian rainforest

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55873/rad.v3i1.292

Keywords:

data analysis, educational prediction, machine learning, data mining

Abstract

Academic performance is crucial for educational management and predicting it can optimize decision-making processes. This study aimed to predict the academic performance of university students using three supervised learning algorithms: K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Naive Bayes (NB), and Decision Tree (AD). Data from 813 students, including socioeconomic and academic variables, were processed and evaluated using metrics such as precision, recall, accuracy, and AUC-ROC. The KNN model was the most effective, achieving an accuracy of 81.97%, making it the best choice for predicting academic performance. Although it showed moderate recall, its precision was the highest, demonstrating a good balance in student classification. In conclusion, KNN is a promising tool for educational institutions to identify at-risk students and improve intervention strategies, helping to boost academic performance and reduce dropout rates.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Abelha, M., Fernandes, S., Mesquita, D., Seabra, F., & Ferreira-Oliveira, A. T. (2020). Graduate Employability and Competence Development in Higher Education—A Systematic Literature Review Using PRISMA. Sustainability, 12(15), 5900. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12155900

Bañeres, D., Rodríguez-González, M. E., Guerrero-Roldán, A.-E., & Cortadas, P. (2023). An early warning system to identify and intervene online dropout learners. International Journal of Educational Technology in Higher Education, 20(1), 3. https://doi.org/10.1186/s41239-022-00371-5

Centoni, M., & Maruotti, A. (2021). Students’ evaluation of academic courses: An exploratory analysis to an Italian case study. Studies in Educational Evaluation, 70, 101054. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.stueduc.2021.101054

Goss, H. (2022). Student Learning Outcomes Assessment in Higher Education and in Academic Libraries: A Review of the Literature. The Journal of Academic Librarianship, 48(2), 102485. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.acalib.2021.102485

Haleem, A., Javaid, M., Qadri, M. A., & Suman, R. (2022). Understanding the role of digital technologies in education: A review. Sustainable Operations and Computers, 3, 275–285. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.susoc.2022.05.004

Issah, I., Appiah, O., Appiahene, P., & Inusah, F. (2023). A systematic review of the literature on machine learning application of determining the attributes influencing academic performance. Decision Analytics Journal, 7, 100204. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dajour.2023.100204

Johar, N. A., Kew, S. N., Tasir, Z., & Koh, E. (2023). Learning Analytics on Student Engagement to Enhance Students’ Learning Performance: A Systematic Review. Sustainability, 15(10), 7849. https://doi.org/10.3390/su15107849

Kamalov, F., Santandreu Calonge, D., & Gurrib, I. (2023). New Era of Artificial Intelligence in Education: Towards a Sustainable Multifaceted Revolution. Sustainability, 15(16), 12451. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151612451

Matz, S. C., Bukow, C. S., Peters, H., Deacons, C., Dinu, A., & Stachl, C. (2023). Using machine learning to predict student retention from socio-demographic characteristics and app-based engagement metrics. Scientific Reports, 13(1), 5705. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-32484-w

Matzavela, V., & Alepis, E. (2021). Decision tree learning through a Predictive Model for Student Academic Performance in Intelligent M-Learning environments. Computers and Education: Artificial Intelligence, 2, 100035. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.caeai.2021.100035

Nsanzumuhire, S. U., & Groot, W. (2020). Context perspective on University-Industry Collaboration processes: A systematic review of literature. Journal of Cleaner Production, 258, 120861. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.120861

Núñez-Canal, M., de Obesso, M. de las M., & Pérez-Rivero, C. A. (2022). New challenges in higher education: A study of the digital competence of educators in Covid times. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 174, 121270. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121270

Rahman, S., Munam, A. M., Hossain, A., Hossain, A. S. M. D., & Bhuiya, R. A. (2023). Socio-economic factors affecting the academic performance of private university students in Bangladesh: a cross-sectional bivariate and multivariate analysis. SN Social Sciences, 3(2), 26. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43545-023-00614-w

Sghir, N., Adadi, A., & Lahmer, M. (2023). Recent advances in Predictive Learning Analytics: A decade systematic review (2012–2022). Education and Information Technologies, 28(7), 8299–8333. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10639-022-11536-0

UNAMAD

Published

2024-01-25

How to Cite

Vargas-Quispe, A. A., & Prieto-Luna, J. C. (2024). Prediction of student academic performance using supervised learning algorithms in a university from the Peruvian rainforest. Revista Amazonía Digital, 3(1), e292. https://doi.org/10.55873/rad.v3i1.292

Issue

Section

Original articles